Search Results for “scenario” – Demand Planning, S&OP/ IBP, Supply Planning, Business Forecasting Blog https://demand-planning.com S&OP/ IBP, Demand Planning, Supply Chain Planning, Business Forecasting Blog Sun, 02 Nov 2025 20:26:44 +0000 en hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.6.4 https://demand-planning.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/cropped-logo-32x32.jpg Search Results for “scenario” – Demand Planning, S&OP/ IBP, Supply Planning, Business Forecasting Blog https://demand-planning.com 32 32 The Case for Demand Planning. Period. https://demand-planning.com/2025/11/02/the-case-for-demand-planning-period/ Sun, 02 Nov 2025 19:31:59 +0000 https://demand-planning.com/?p=10548

In today’s volatile and uncertain market, companies can no longer afford to operate without a structured, data-driven approach to forecasting demand. Demand planning is more than just predicting sales—it’s about building an integrated, agile business that can respond to customer needs while managing resources efficiently. Despite its importance, many organizations still rely on outdated tools, such as spreadsheets, which can lead to bias and siloed decision-making, ultimately compromising their forecast accuracy.

The potential improvements in predictive analytics and the integrated demand planning process can significantly streamline decision-making processes, create new insights, and save several business functions a huge amount of time and money.

Understand that a business will most likely invest in a new process to solve pain points, drive quantified savings, or deliver other clearly defined improvements. To successfully build a business case, you need to both help the organization understand the need and see the benefits.

Why Focus on Demand Planning?

Most companies that decide to invest or improve their process are primarily driven by one or more of the following:

  • Obvious forecast accuracy challenges
  • A highly variable process that requires a dedicated process to support it
  • Detail-level forecasts are needed to support a more efficient manufacturing or distribution system
  • Downstream inventory problems that are clearly driven by unseen variability
  • An attempt to drive more cooperation between Sales and Operations through a consensus-based planning.

At its core, demand planning acts as the foundation for synchronized operations. It allows marketing, sales, supply chain, finance, and production to operate from a common set of assumptions. Without an accurate demand plan, supply planning becomes reactive; finance struggles with forecasting revenue, and customer service deteriorates due to stockouts or excess inventory.

Consumer behaviors have become increasingly unpredictable. Economic shifts, global disruptions, and rapid product cycles mean that relying solely on historical sales is no longer sufficient. Demand planning introduces a proactive lens that incorporates both internal drivers (such as promotions and price changes) and external signals (including market trends and customer insights) to create adaptive forecasts.

Inaccurate demand forecasts result in costly outcomes, including expedited shipping, excess working capital, lost sales, and markdowns. Improved demand planning helps reduce forecast error, allowing for better inventory placement, production planning, and supplier coordination. Even a 5- to 10-percent improvement in forecast accuracy can have a significant bottom-line impact.

Potential Improvements in Demand Planning

Organizations that invest in improving demand planning benefit from:

  • Reduced Inventory Costs – Through better alignment of supply and demand.
  • Improved Service Levels – By placing the right product in the right place at the right time.
  • Higher Forecast Accuracy – Leading to more reliable plans across finance and supply.
  • Faster Decision-Making – Enabled by real-time data and scenario analysis.
  • Greater Agility – Ability to adjust to shifts in demand or supply quickly.

A mountain of research today shows that a mature demand planning process helps in improving forecast accuracy and delivers a high ROI. Improved forecast accuracy, when combined with software that translates the forecast into actionable insights, will decrease inventory and operating costs, increase service and sales, enhance cash flow and gross margin return on inventory investment (GMROI), and boost pre-tax profitability. The forecasting error, no matter how small, has a significant impact on the bottom line. In our experience, a 15 percent improvement in forecast accuracy will deliver a pre-tax improvement of 3 percent or higher.

In a previous IBF study of 15 U.S. companies, we found that even a one percentage point improvement in under-forecasting at a $1 billion company results in a savings of as much as $1.52 million, and for the same amount of improvement in over-forecasting, $1.28 million.[i]

The reduction in downstream finished goods inventory resulting from a well-established process and forecast accuracy improvements provides a one-time saving, as well as recurring savings arising from reduced carrying costs. There are significant benefits in a make-to-stock or distribution company. The downstream inventory reduction could range from 10 percent to 20 percent, as forecasting inaccuracies typically account for around 75 percent of the required safety stock.

Building and Investing in Demand Planning

  • Build an Unbiased, Unconstrained, Consensus-Based Forecast: Organizations often confuse the demand plan with the sales target. Sales may overestimate to push for stretch goals, while operations may buffer to protect service. Demand planning needs to separate judgment from aspiration. Instituting a formal demand consensus process ensures that all voices are heard, while forecasts remain grounded in data and are evaluated against actual performance.
  • Upgrade from Static Spreadsheets to Dynamic Models: Many companies still use Excel as their primary planning tool. While familiar, spreadsheets lack scalability, version control, and real-time integration. Upgrading to a dedicated demand planning system (or enhancing existing tools with forecasting models) introduces automation, improves collaboration, and enables real-time adjustments. It also supports more advanced techniques such as decomposition models or AI-based forecasts.
  • Understand and Match Models to Patterns: Not all items follow the same demand pattern. Some are seasonal, some have trends, and others are highly volatile. Applying a one-size-fits-all model can lead to overfitting or underperformance. Instead, classify SKUs by their demand characteristics and apply the appropriate model, whether that’s exponential smoothing, moving average, or more complex causal models.
  • Focus on Data Quality and Forecastability: Forecasting is only as good as the data behind it. Cleanse data for outliers, missing periods, and promotions. Measure forecastability using the Coefficient of Variation (CV) or Demand Intermittency. The demand planner becomes the integrator, ensuring that inputs from various departments are translated into a structured forecast. Establish accountability through KPIs such as bias, MAPE, and forecast value added (FVA).
  • Invest in training and upskilling through IBF: Empower your teams with proven forecasting and planning knowledge by leveraging IBF’s certifications, workshops, and learning resources, building internal capability that drives consistent, confident decision-making.

Many companies are leaving money on the table with lost sales or poor service levels. An integrated demand planning process can result in increased revenue of 0.5 percent to 3 percent, along with improved inventory availability and demand shaping capabilities. Total annual direct material purchases, along with logistics-related expenses arising from demand variability and lost opportunities, can see direct improvements of 3 percent to 5 percent. We can also benefit from a 20 percent reduction in airfreight costs. Figure Y illustrates the anticipated benefits from a 15 percent improvement in forecast accuracy (these averages are based on individual results, which can vary depending on other variables and may be higher or lower for specific organizations).

Fig. Y | Graphic showing typical benefits from a 15 percent improvement in forecast accuracy

It is essential to understand these average savings amounts and determine what savings you believe you can achieve with a mature predictive analytics and demand planning process. Sometimes you need to know what finance and executive leadership anticipate in terms of benefits; you need to be on the same page in terms of expectations. It is here that the Institute of Business Forecasting Advisory Services (IBF.org) can shed some light on what is realistic based on past implementations.

Demand planning is not just a supply chain function; it’s a strategic business process that empowers smarter, faster decisions. In an environment where disruption is the norm and expectations are high, companies that implement disciplined, data-driven demand planning will not only survive, they will lead.

The path forward is clear: Separate judgment from strategy, invest in tools and talent, and build a collaborative process that evolves with your business.

In a world of uncertainty, demand planning offers clarity. It’s not just about predicting the future, it’s about preparing for it. Companies that invest in robust, unbiased, and collaborative demand planning are the ones that outperform, outmaneuver, and outlast their competition.

But you don’t have to do it alone.

The Institute of Business Forecasting (IBF) has been the trusted authority in forecasting, demand planning, and Sales and Operations Planning (S&OP) for over four decades. Whether you’re just starting your planning journey or looking to refine and elevate your process, IBF offers the training, certification, tools, and global community to help you succeed.

Join IBF and take the next step:

  • Get certified with globally recognized credentials
  • Attend industry-leading conferences and events
  • Access exclusive research, case studies, and best practices
  • Learn from and connect with top planning professionals around the world

[i] Chaman L. Jain (2018). The Impact of People and Processes on Forecast Error in S&OP. IBF research report #18. August 31, 2018

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Fake It Until You Make It: Why Certification Matters Today https://demand-planning.com/2025/10/06/fake-it-until-you-make-it-why-certification-matters-today/ Tue, 07 Oct 2025 01:43:23 +0000 https://demand-planning.com/?p=10543

Certification programs like those offered by IBF are becoming more and more attractive to supply and demand planning professionals. At a time when artificial intelligence makes it possible for employees to fake it until they make it until they get called out for it, certification proves that you’re the real thing.

IBF’s certification programs offer targeted training and education that help bridge knowledge gaps, develop new competencies, and align professionals with the latest supply and demand planning industry standards.

The Difference Between a Degree and Certification

Let’s start by explaining the difference between degree and certification programs.

Advanced education, which results in a degree or diploma, requires years of study. As a degree student, you attend general education classes in major- and minor-specific subjects.

By contrast, obtaining a certificate results from finishing the required coursework in a defined part of supply and demand planning. The studying you do to get a certificate is typically not general; instead, it is explicitly tailored to the specific area of study. Mastery is demonstrated by passing a test.

Earning an IBF certificate requires far less time than earning a degree. Despite this, you come away with in-depth knowledge.

Often, after completing degree programs, graduates pursue certifications when they want to advance in their careers or develop new interests. (Think moving from a warehouse supervisor position into demand planning.) This prevents people from having to start from scratch with a new degree when they want to make a change and allows them to improve their skill set and build on their education.

10 Reasons to Pursue IBF Certification

Here are the top reasons people earn certification from the Institute of Business Forecasting.

1. Improve skills

IBF’s certificate programs provide targeted education about various aspects of supply and demand planning. They offer a focused curriculum that allows you to deepen your knowledge and develop specialized skills relevant to the field. Our experts can help you gain expertise in a high-demand area. It signals employers, managers, and peers that you know your stuff.

2. Advance your career

Earning an IBF certification can improve growth and career advancement opportunities within your organization. It helps demonstrate a commitment to ongoing learning and professional development that will position you above your peers. Supply and demand planning certification shows that you are dedicated to advancing in your career in the field, which makes you a valuable asset. With certifications, you will likely qualify for promotions, salary increases, or access to more challenging roles within your company.

Be aware: Certification can significantly increase salary. Many studies show it can add up to thousands of dollars a year.

3. Stay up-to-date with industry trends

New supply-and-demand-planning technologies, methodologies, and best practices emerge constantly, and the pace of change has only increased with the advent of artificial intelligence. Like many other business areas, supply and demand planning increasingly relies on advanced technologies to improve efficiency, the customer experience, and business performance. IBF’s certification programs help supply and demand professionals stay on top of the latest technological advancements and methodologies, ensuring they are not left behind in the rapidly evolving landscape.

4. Networking opportunities

Enrolling in an IBF certification program while taking part in other learning opportunities we offer is an excellent way to expand your professional network. Imagine being able to ask industry experts and peers questions and get trade secrets that give you an edge. You can also share war stories from work during these changing and challenging times.

You will have the chance to connect with instructors, industry experts, and fellow participants who share your passion for supply and demand planning. Networking often results in valuable new industry connections, mentorship opportunities, and even job offers.

5. Improve problem-solving skills

IBF’s certification programs include case studies, simulations, and real-world scenarios that help participants learn new thinking methods. They require professionals to apply their knowledge and skills to solve problems. Through the exercises, you develop critical thinking and problem-solving abilities, which allow you to address challenges more quickly and effectively at work. It will help you to stand head and shoulders above your peers with lesser problem-solving abilities.

6. Global recognition and mobility

IBF’s certifications are recognized across the world. This makes it possible for you to pursue job opportunities beyond your local area. It is a way to prove your supply and demand planning expertise in the United States, Europe, or anywhere else. IBF professionals are known for meeting a high level of competence and enhancing trust and consistency across different regions and industries.

7. Meeting business goals and objectives

Companies have specific goals and objectives requiring a skilled and knowledgeable workforce. IBF stays closely connected to supply and demand planning experts at leading companies. This helps ensure our certification programs align with the current strategic needs of leading firms. Being certified makes it clear to companies that you are capable of helping them reach their business goals.

8. Continuous learning and personal growth

Certification does not just benefit career progress and business performance. The ongoing learning associated with certification results in personal growth and satisfaction. A focus on improvement encourages people to reflect on their values, beliefs, strengths, and weaknesses. Through self-awareness, they gain a deeper understanding of themselves, their motivations, and their goals, enabling them to make better-informed decisions and lead more fulfilling lives.

Taken together, this builds confidence, which is a reward in itself.

9. Job security and resilience

Relevant IBF certifications will improve your job security and ability to recover from setbacks. Certified professionals are in high demand, especially in industries experiencing rapid technological advancements or the impacts of tariffs.

IB’s certification programs typically cover a broad range of topics, allowing you to improve your skills in a wide array of areas. By investing in your education and acquiring certification through IBF, you can future-proof your career and increase your employability over the long term.

10. Credibility. Credibility. Credibility.

Of course, other training and certification programs are available, especially online. However, IBF’s is different. Our certification program has been around for decades and is the most respected in the industry. If you invest in personal or business-level certification, it will pay off many times over. Plus, you and your business enter an exclusive club that only a small fraction of the industry is a part of.

The Final Word on IBF Certifications

In conclusion, IBF’s individual and group certificate programs provide targeted, specialized supply and demand training that improves skills, increases knowledge, and supports career advancement across industries. It will make you more valuable to your current company and to other businesses.

Earning certification boosts self-confidence and provides a sense of personal satisfaction. Of course, studying for and passing rigorous certification exams is challenging and requires dedication, effort, and perseverance. Successfully earning certification validates your hard work and expertise. People who earn their certification through IBF are quick to claim and promote their status.

The sense of accomplishment that comes with getting certified can inspire you to set and achieve even greater career goals.

Plus, at a time when too many people are using artificial intelligence to fake it until they make it… or fail, IBF certification proves you are the real thing.

Are you ready to earn your IBF certification? Would you like to get your team certified? Find out more.

 

 

 

 

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The Benefits of Demand Planning to Organizations: By the Numbers https://demand-planning.com/2025/08/26/the-benefits-of-demand-planning-to-organizations-by-the-numbers/ Wed, 27 Aug 2025 01:13:03 +0000 https://demand-planning.com/?p=10533

In today’s volatile and uncertain market, companies can no longer afford to operate without a structured, data-driven approach to forecasting demand. Demand planning is more than just predicting sales—it’s about building an integrated, agile business that can respond to customer needs while managing resources efficiently. Despite its importance, many organizations still rely on outdated tools like spreadsheets or allow bias and siloed decision-making to corrupt their forecast accuracy.

Employing predictive analytics and integrated demand planning can significantly streamline decision-making processes, create new insights, and save several business functions a lot of time and money.

This article explains why businesses need to leverage demand planning to improve their operations and explains the quantifiable value of doing it so that it can be sold within an organization.

Why Focus on Demand Planning?

Most companies that decide to invest in demand planning or improve their process are primarily driven by one or more of the following:

  • Forecast accuracy challenges
  • A highly variable process that needs improvement
  • Need for a more efficient manufacturing or distribution system
  • Downstream inventory problems driven by unseen variability
  • Desire to improve cooperation between sales and operations

At its core, demand planning synchronizes operations. It allows marketing, sales, supply chain, finance, and production to operate from a common set of assumptions. Without an accurate demand plan, supply planning becomes reactive, finance struggles with forecasting revenue, and customer service deteriorates from stockouts or excess inventory.

Consumer behaviors have become increasingly unpredictable. Economic shifts, global disruptions, and rapid product cycles mean relying on historical sales alone is no longer sufficient. Demand planning introduces a proactive lens incorporating internal drivers (promotions, price changes) and external signals (market trends, customer insights) to create adaptive forecasts.

Inaccurate demand forecasts translate to costly outcomes: expedited shipping, excess working capital, lost sales, and markdowns. Improved demand planning helps reduce forecast error, allowing for better inventory placement, production planning, and supplier coordination. Even a five to ten percent improvement in forecast accuracy can have a significant bottom-line impact.

Potential Improvements Resulting From Demand Planning

Organizations that invest in improving demand planning benefit from:

  • Reduced inventory costs through better alignment of supply and demand.
  • Improved service levels by placing the right product in the right place at the right time.
  • Higher forecast accuracy can lead to more reliable plans across finance and supply.
  • Faster decision-making is enabled by real-time data and scenario analysis.
  • Greater agility because of the ability to quickly adjust to shifts in demand or supply.

A mountain of research today shows that a mature demand planning process helps improve forecast accuracy and deliver a high return on investment (ROI). Improved forecast accuracy, when combined with software that translates the forecast into meaningful actions, will decrease inventory and operating costs, increase service and sales, improve cash flow and gross margin return on inventory investment (GMROI), and increase pre-tax profitability. The forecasting error, no matter how small it is, significantly affects the bottom line. In our experience, a 15 percent forecast accuracy improvement will deliver a 3 percent or higher pre-tax improvement.

In a previous IBF study of 15 U.S. companies, we found that even a one-percentage-point improvement in under-forecasting at a $1 billion company delivers a savings of as much as $1.52 million, and for the same amount of improvement in over-forecasting, $1.28 million.[i]

The reduction in downstream finished goods inventory resulting from a well-established process and forecast accuracy improvements provides a one-time saving, as well as recurring savings arising from reduced carrying costs. There are great benefits in a make-to-stock or distribution company, the downstream inventory reduction could range from 10 to 20 percent since forecasting inaccuracies typically drive around 75 percent of the required safety stock.

Building and Investing in Demand Planning

Here are some best practices when it comes to demand planning.

  • Build an unbiased, unconstrained, consensus-based forecast. Organizations often confuse the demand plan with the sales target. Sales may overestimate to push for stretch goals, while operations may buffer to protect service. Demand planning needs to separate judgment from aspiration. Instituting a formal demand consensus process ensures all voices are heard, but forecasts remain grounded in data and evaluated against actual performance.
  • Upgrade from static spreadsheets to dynamic models. Many companies still use Excel as their primary planning tool. While familiar, spreadsheets lack scalability, version control, and real-time integration. Upgrading to a dedicated demand planning system (or enhancing existing tools with forecasting models) introduces automation, improves collaboration, and enables real-time adjustments. It also supports more advanced techniques such as decomposition models or AI-based forecasts.
  • Understand and match models to patterns. Not all items follow the same demand pattern. Some are seasonal, some have trends, and others are highly volatile. Applying a one-size-fits-all model can lead to overfitting or underperformance. Instead, classify SKUs by their demand characteristics and apply the appropriate model, whether that’s exponential smoothing, moving average, or more complex causal models.
  • Focus on data quality and forecastability. Forecasting is only as good as the data behind it. Cleanse data for outliers, missing periods, and promotions. Measure forecastability using the Coefficient of Variation (CV) or Demand Intermittency. The demand planner becomes the integrator, ensuring inputs from various departments are translated into a structured forecast. Establish accountability through KPIs like bias, MAPE, and forecast value add (FVA).
  • Invest in training and improving skills with IBF. Leverage IBF’s certifications, workshops, and learning resources to empower your teams with proven forecasting and planning knowledge, building internal capability that drives consistent, confident decision-making.

Taking steps to practice demand planning optimally will increase the bottom-line benefits you gain from it.

Bottom Line Benefits for Practicing Demand Planning

Many companies leave money on the table with lost sales or poor service levels. An integrated demand planning process can translate to increased revenue of 0.5 percent to 3 percent with improved inventory availability or demand shaping capabilities. Total annual direct material purchase, along with logistics-related expenses arising from demand variability and lost opportunities, can see direct improvements of 3 to 5 percent. We can also benefit from a 20 percent reduction in airfreight costs. The figure below shows the anticipated benefits from a 15 percent improvement in forecast accuracy. (These are averages and individual results for organizations. They are dependent on many other variables and can be higher or lower.)

This illustrates the possible benefits from a 15 percent improvement in forecast accuracy

It is essential to understand that these are average savings amounts. It is up to you to determine what savings you believe you can drive with a mature predictive analytics and demand planning process. Sometimes you need to know what finance and executive leadership anticipate in terms of benefits; you need to be on the same page in terms of expectations. It is here that the Institute of Business Forecasting Advisory Services can shed some light on what is realistic based on past implementations.

Demand planning is not just a supply chain function; it’s a strategic business process that empowers smarter, faster decisions. In an environment where disruption is the norm and expectations are high, companies that implement disciplined, data-driven demand planning will not only survive but also lead.

The Benefits of Demand Planning: The Final Word

The path forward is clear: Separate judgment from strategy, invest in tools and talent, and build a collaborative process that evolves with your business.

In a world of uncertainty, demand planning offers clarity. It’s not just about predicting the future, it’s about preparing for it. Companies that invest in robust, unbiased, and collaborative demand planning are the ones that outperform, outmaneuver, and outlast their competition.

But you don’t have to do it alone.

The Institute of Business Forecasting (IBF) has been the trusted authority in forecasting, demand planning, and S&OP for over four decades. Whether you’re just starting your planning journey or looking to refine and elevate your process, IBF offers the training, certification, tools, and global community to help you succeed.

Join IBF and take the next step:

  • Get certified with globally recognized credentials
  • Attend industry-leading conferences and events
  • Access exclusive research, case studies, and best practices
  • Learn from and connect with top planning professionals around the world.

[i] Chaman L. Jain (2018). The Impact of People and Processes on Forecast Error in S&OP. IBF research report #18. August 31, 2018

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The Ultimate Guide to Sales and Operations Planning https://demand-planning.com/2025/08/18/the-ultimate-guide-to-sales-and-operations-planning/ Tue, 19 Aug 2025 00:38:14 +0000 https://demand-planning.com/?p=10525

Sales and Operations Planning (S&OP) is a structured, cross-functional business process that aligns all areas of an organization around a unified set of assumptions to drive coordinated decision-making. The goal of S&OP is to ensure that business plans and objectives are balanced and that financial and operational plans are synchronized. It serves as the critical integration point between strategic planning and daily execution, enabling companies to translate high-level business objectives into actionable plans.

At its core, a mature S&OP is not just a supply chain or operations process. It is a business-wide planning framework that brings together sales, marketing, finance, operations, product management, and supply chain to work collaboratively. The result is a comprehensive plan everyone supports and works toward, reducing misalignment, improving responsiveness, and increasing overall business performance.

The process typically operates on a monthly cadence, with inputs from various departments converging into a final executive review meeting where trade-offs are discussed, decisions are made, and a single, unified plan is committed to.

The Value of S&OP

Implementing and executing an effective S&OP process provides tangible value across the organization. At a high level, S&OP delivers:

  • Improved forecast accuracy and demand visibility: S&OP allows companies to move from reactive to proactive planning, reducing surprises and enabling better preparedness for market changes.
  • Balanced supply and demand: With cross-functional collaboration, companies can more efficiently manage supply constraints, optimize inventory levels, and meet customer service goals.
  • Financial alignment: S&OP ensures that operational plans are financially viable and support the broader goals of the business. It connects demand and supply plans to financial projections.
  • Increased agility: The ability to run scenarios and analyze the impact of decisions across the business improves agility in the face of disruptions or demand shifts.
  • Enhanced collaboration: S&OP builds a culture of accountability and transparency. It fosters communication across silos and ensures that all stakeholders work from the same assumptions.
  • Executive-level visibility: With clear insights into upcoming challenges and opportunities, executives can make informed decisions with confidence.

Organizations with mature S&OP processes often see improvements in service levels, inventory turns, working capital, and revenue growth. But the actual value lies in the enhanced decision-making capabilities and improved alignment across the business.

How to Build a Sales and Operations Plan

Developing a robust sale and operations plan requires a clear structure, defined roles and responsibilities, and a commitment to consistent execution. While tools and technology play a role, the foundation of effective S&OP lies in process discipline and cross-functional collaboration.

Here are key building blocks to consider:

  • Leadership commitment: Executive sponsorship is essential. S&OP must be seen as a strategic business process, not just a supply chain activity.
  • Defined ownership and governance: Each step of the process should have clear ownership, with defined roles for demand planning, supply planning, finance, product management, and executive teams.
  • Calendar and cadence: A standard monthly cycle should be established, with defined inputs, outputs, and meetings for each phase. Concurrent weekly S&OP meetings help manage near-term deviations.
  • Unconstrained and unbiased planning: The demand plan should be developed independently of constraints or biases, providing a true reflection of expected demand. Only then can supply plans be adjusted accordingly.
  • Data and metrics: Reliable data is the backbone of S&OP. Forecast accuracy, bias, inventory health, and capacity utilization are some of the key metrics that drive accountability and improvement.
  • Technology and tools: While not a prerequisite, modern planning tools can enhance collaboration, scenario planning, and automation. However, these tools must support—not replace—a sound process.
  • Culture and change management: S&OP is as much about people as it is about process. Building trust, encouraging open dialogue, and reinforcing accountability are crucial for success.

Key Steps in S&OP

A typical S&OP process includes several structured review steps culminating in an executive decision-making forum. Here is an overview of each phase:

Product Review

  • Purpose: Align the product and portfolio roadmap with business strategy.
  • Activities: Review new product introductions, end-of-life plans, promotions, and phase-outs. Evaluate the impact of changes on demand and supply.
  •  Participants: Product management, marketing, R&D, operations, and finance.

Demand Review

  • Purpose: Develop an unconstrained, consensus demand plan.
  • Activities: Analyze historical performance, market trends, customer input, and promotional plans. Identify risks and opportunities.
  • Participants: Demand planning, sales, marketing, and finance.

Supply and Resource Review

  • Purpose: Determine how to meet the demand plan with available resources.
  • Activities: Evaluate capacity, inventory, procurement, logistics, and supplier capabilities. Highlight constraints and propose scenarios.
  • Participants: Supply planning, manufacturing, procurement, logistics, and finance.

Pre-S&OP/Reconciliation Review

  • Purpose: Identify gaps between demand and supply, align on scenarios, and prepare for executive discussion.
  • Activities: Review financial implications, resolve issues, and recommend decisions.
  • Participants: Cross-functional team leads, finance, and planning leadership.

Executive S&OP Review

  • Purpose: Make final decisions, approve the consensus plan, and provide strategic direction.
  • Activities: Review scenarios, validate financial impact, approve trade-offs, and document decisions.
  • Participants: Executive leadership, heads of major functions, and finance.

Concurrent Process: Sales & Operations Execution (S&OE)

While S&OP focuses on the mid- to long-term horizon (typically 3 to 24 months), S&OE manages near-term execution (0 to 13 weeks). This weekly process addresses short-term deviations from plan and ensures agility in responding to real-time changes. Key focus areas include order fulfillment, short-term supply imbalances, and demand shifts. S&OE connects strategy to execution, ensuring that decisions made in S&OP are implemented effectively.

Sales and Operations Planning: The Final Word

In today’s complex and volatile business environment, Sales and Operations Planning is more than just a process—it’s a mindset and an essential capability. Companies that embrace S&OP gain the ability to navigate uncertainty, align cross-functional teams, and drive smarter, faster decisions.

The future of S&OP is one of greater integration, intelligent automation, and real-time visibility. But, at its heart, the success of S&OP will always depend on three things: collaboration, transparency, and consensus.

Organizations that invest in building a strong S&OP process—supported by leadership, informed by data, and aligned with strategic goals—will be better positioned to thrive. They will not only deliver superior performance but also foster a culture of shared accountability and continuous improvement.

In short, Sales and Operations Planning is the bridge that connects strategic intent to operational execution. Done right, it becomes a sustainable competitive advantage.

 

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How to Start a Successful Demand Planning Career https://demand-planning.com/2025/07/14/how-to-start-a-successful-demand-planning-career/ Tue, 15 Jul 2025 00:33:19 +0000 https://demand-planning.com/?p=10515

Are you interested in a challenging career that will put you in an influential position at work and provide significant career growth potential?

Then, working in demand planning might be an excellent option for you.

Demand planners are crucial in forecasting future demand, optimizing inventory, and improving overall business efficiency. The field provides opportunities for cross-functional collaboration, exposure to diverse business areas, and the chance to significantly impact a company’s profitability. In addition, it plays a critical role in consumer satisfaction. Demand planning is a growing field offering career opportunities, limitless learning potential, and the opportunity to work in many industries.

Individuals who want to become demand planners must be interested in data tracking and analysis, understanding consumer behavior, and anticipating market trends. That’s because their ultimate purpose is to help businesses meet consumer demand efficiently.

If you choose a demand planning career, be prepared to develop a specific skill set, gain relevant experience, and continuously adapt to the ever-evolving world of supply chain and demand planning, where change is only accelerating with the introduction of AI.

This guide explains everything you must know to become a successful demand planning professional.

Education Requirements for Demand Planners

The first step in becoming a demand planner is to meet the necessary educational requirements.

A bachelor’s degree in supply chain management, business, statistics, economics, or a related field is typically required. Plan to take courses in data analysis, supply chain principles, and inventory management. Beyond that, consider pursuing a master’s degree or certifications like those offered by the Institute of Business Forecasting, which can help you stand out.

Analytical and Technical Skills Demand Planners Need

Demand planning is all about data analysis and forecasting. Develop your analytical skills by learning to interpret complex data sets and identify trends. Gain expertise with statistical software and tools. Start with Excel and then build up to more advanced ones such as SAS and R. Demonstrate your systems proficiency by mastering enterprise resource planning (ERP) systems and demand planning software. These are crucial for developing accurate demand forecasts and effective supply chain strategies.

Soft Skills for Demand Planners

One of the career-enhancing opportunities that demand planning offers is the opportunity to work with so many cross-functional partners. Many demand planners cite this as why they were offered advancement opportunities quicker than their peers.

Because demand planners must handle many types of tasks and work with a wide array of stakeholders, they will be more successful if they develop specific soft skills, including:

  • Communication: Demand planners should be able to clearly communicate complex concepts to different stakeholders, including people in sales, marketing, finance, operations, and company leadership. This includes not just explaining the what behind forecasts but also the why.
  • Collaboration: Demand planning often requires collaboration across many departments and functions. Getting everyone in a room to agree is a skill in and of itself. It’s easier to do this with solid collaborative capabilities, supporting partnering with other teams, information sharing, and working together to achieve common goals.
  • Adaptability: Many factors, including market changes and unexpected events, can impact planning. Demand planners must be flexible and adaptable enough to adjust forecasts and plans in real-time.
  • Problem-solving: Supply chains are becoming ever more complex. Consumers seem to change their minds more than ever. As a result, planners will frequently encounter challenges and uncertainties during their workday. Solid problem-resolution skills are necessary to identify and resolve potential issues, such as forecasting mistakes, data errors, or supply chain disruptions.
  • Continuous improvement: Demand planning changes rapidly, even more so since the introduction of artificial intelligence. Planners must stay up-to-date on the latest trends and best practices in the field.
  • Leadership: Leadership doesn’t only refer to managing other people; it comes in many forms. Demand planners must inspire other teams and stakeholders to achieve common goals, which requires the ability to both listen and influence others to drive a consensus among the team.
  • Attention to detail: In demand planning, little things make a big difference. Attention to detail is key for success. Identifying small issues can save a company millions of dollars in inventory reductions and increased efficiency.
  • Organization: Demand planning is all about juggling many plates at once. People with differing priorities will pull you in many directions. Planners must be capable of prioritizing their work and staying organized and structured in their approach to data analysis, forecasting, planning, and working with others.
  • Time management: Planning is time-bound. That’s why demand planners must master time management and set priorities.

Experience Needed for Demand Planning Roles

Hands-on experience is incredibly valuable for understanding the complexities of demand planning and handling challenging situations.

Start by looking for internships or entry-level inventory management, procurement, or logistics positions. Larger organizations offer rotational programs for new grads that can provide excellent exposure to the various parts of the supply chain. This will help you learn the factors that influence demand and how supply chains operate. Aim to participate in cross-functional projects to find out how different departments influence supply and demand planning.

Build a Professional Network

No demand planning professional achieves success on their own.

Start by seeking out internal mentors. Look for people in roles you may aspire to one day and ask for their guidance.

Both internally and externally, networking and building connections are essential.

Join professional organizations like the Institute of Business Forecasting to connect with peers and industry experts and continue your education. Attend conferences, workshops, seminars, boot camps, town halls, and other events to stay on top of industry trends and best practices. (These are also great places to seek out external mentors.)

Networking can help you broaden your industry knowledge and open doors to career opportunities. People love to help others; you just have to ask.

Show Off Your Demand Planning Work

As you gain demand planning work experience, develop a portfolio that showcases your projects and achievements. (Consider building a website you can link to from your LinkedIn profile or share with prospective employers.) Include case studies, forecasts, testimonials, and strategies. Document how your work resulted in business improvements and efficiencies and helped prevent supply issues.

This is also a great time to start giving back. It is said that there is no better way to master a subject than by figuring out how to teach it. Write an article for a publication like the Journal of Business Forecasting. Present what you have learned or a case study at a conference.

Keep Learning and Stay Informed

Demand planning is dynamic, with methodologies and technologies constantly emerging. Introducing artificial intelligence into the practice has only accelerated the pace of change.

Too many people sit back and expect others to establish their ongoing development plan, only to be frustrated when they realize they are being left behind. Take ownership of your career development. Stay informed about the latest trends in supply chain management, data analytics, and demand planning. Engage in continuous learning through online courses, webinars, and publications like those offered by IBF. Participate in local industry networking meetings. Keeping your skills and knowledge current is critical for advancing your demand planning career.

Taking these steps is the traditional way to achieve success in demand planning.

Other Paths To Get Into Demand Planning

Not everyone follows the traditional path into a career in demand planning. Think of all of the inputs that go into creating a solid forecast. With the right analytical skills, cross-functional partners who understand what goes into a demand consensus process can become great demand planners. Some alternatives include:

Move into Demand Planning from Customer Service or Sales

People who work in customer service or sales positions have valuable insights about consumer behavior and market trends that can benefit demand planning.

Moving from these areas into demand planning is a relatively common career trajectory. People who do this have a solid understanding of product demand and customer needs. To become effective demand planners, they must develop analytical skills and familiarity with demand forecasting tools.

Shift from Analytical Roles into Demand Planning

Professionals with analytical experience in industries like finance, marketing, or healthcare often find these skills transferable to demand planning roles. Because they can interpret data and identify patterns, they usually become valuable members of demand planning teams. Once they learn supply chain dynamics, inventory management, and effective soft skills, they can leverage their analytical expertise in a new way, making demand planning richer through cross-industry insights.

Transfer from Inventory or Logistics Positions

People already working within or adjacent to the supply chain, such as those in inventory or logistics jobs, have a basic understanding of the flow of goods and the issues impacting it. In the end, their lives have been made easier or harder by, among other things, a good forecast. Moving up to a demand planning position is often a positive career move.

Before making the shift, candidates must expand their skills to include demand forecasting while also developing a broader perspective of the supply chain. Training like that offered by IBF will be critical to ramping up quickly.

The alternative paths people can take into demand planning positions demonstrate how expansive the field is. Building an effective demand planning team requires many people with different skill sets. There is no single way to become a demand planner, and based on our extensive experience with the industry, every career and path into it is unique. That’s why IBF offers so many resources to help practitioners and hopefuls achieve success.

How Long Does It Take to Become a Demand Planner?

The timeframe for becoming a demand planner varies from a few years to several, depending on your educational background and work experience. With a bachelor’s degree in supply chain management or a related business field, you might expect to spend about three years gaining relevant experience in inventory management, analytics, operations, or other associated areas before moving into demand planning.

For people who come from unrelated disciplines or do not have a college degree, it may take more time to develop the skills and industry knowledge needed to qualify for demand planner positions. Seeking opportunities to learn about market trends, forecasting, and inventory management can speed the process.

Becoming a Demand Planner: The Final Word

While there is no single path to becoming a demand planning professional, there are a few things people need to succeed in the field.

  • Expertise in data analysis. Demand planners must be solid at interpreting data. It’s the only way to forecast demand accurately. They must constantly improve their analytical skills and master specialized forecasting software. Understanding historical trends and predictive modeling is critical for achieving success.
  • Understanding of supply chain dynamics. It’s critical to know how supply chains function. Understanding how the inputs into the forecast impact its accuracy, and how your forecast accuracy impacts others downstream, is the true demonstration of your understanding of the demand planner role. Learn about the complete process, from procurement to distribution, especially the effect that demand planning can have on each stage.
  • Communication and negotiation skills. No demand planner works in a vacuum. It requires building solid relationships with many stakeholders and ongoing coordination with internal teams, suppliers, and manufacturers. Every team is managing to different metrics. Many speak the language of their function (i.e., dollars vs. units). Learn how to communicate and negotiate effectively to ensure operational efficiency and cost-effectiveness.
  • Focus on leanness and efficiency. Become familiar with lean and agile management practices, which are how companies operate to improve efficiency and reduce waste.
  • Master project management. Supply and demand planning is project-driven. That is why understanding the fundamentals of project management is beneficial. Learn how to plan, execute, and monitor projects while limiting risk. This will help you manage initiatives successfully.
  • Be adaptable. Demand planners must be able to adapt to change and solve problems. Pay attention to what’s going on in the world around you. Practice resilience by exposing yourself to different demand planning scenarios, such as market shifts or supply disruptions. This adaptability will help you feel confident that you can handle any situation, even in challenging times.
  • Find a mentor. Partnering with a trusted and experienced professional is a great way to gain fresh insights and perspectives. Stay on the lookout for mentorship opportunities, and don’t be bashful about asking for support, either from senior demand planning leaders or others in the organization. The worst they can say is no, but most will want to help or will be willing to refer you to a colleague better suited to supporting your goals.

These tips will equip aspiring demand planners with the skills and knowledge to transition successfully into a new position and help people already in the field advance their careers.

Get a jump start by taking advantage of all the resources available through IBF, including our training and networking opportunities, journal, podcasts, and more.

And for students, and others just starting out, IBF offers free events including webinars and regional events. You can also volunteer to help out at IBF conferences and events and receive free admission. Contact IBF to find out more.

 

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Demand Planning 101: The Basics https://demand-planning.com/2025/05/05/demand-planning-101-the-basics/ Tue, 06 May 2025 01:19:57 +0000 https://demand-planning.com/?p=10495

Do you have questions about demand planning? This guide explains everything you need to know about this complex topic in a simple and understandable way.

What is Demand Planning?

Demand planning is the process of using analytics, data, insights, and experience to make predictions and respond to various business needs. It leverages demand forecasts—not as an end in themselves—but as a tool to highlight opportunities and risks, establish business goals, and support proactive planning across functions.

While demand planning often reports into the supply chain, it is not solely a supply chain function. It is a cross-functional discipline that integrates insights from sales, marketing, finance, and operations to create a consensus plan—a unified view of what is most likely to happen in the market.

Demand planning combines historical sales analysis, market intelligence, consumer behavior trends, and business knowledge to guide actions across the organization. It enables companies to anticipate demand shifts, align resources accordingly, and avoid stockouts and excess inventory, especially in an environment where customer expectations and market conditions constantly evolve.

At its core, demand planning drives better business performance by ensuring that decisions are based on relevant, timely, and collaborative inputs, not guesswork or isolated projections.

Bottom line: An accurate demand forecast provides the information your operations and sales teams need to plan how much product to buy or manufacture to meet projected demand as efficiently as possible with limited waste.

What is the Difference between Demand Planning and Demand Forecasting?

Demand forecasting and demand planning are closely connected but serve different purposes:

  • Demand forecasting is the analytical process of using data, statistical models, and judgment to predict future demand. It’s a probability-based estimate of what might happen and forms the foundation for planning decisions?
  • Demand planning takes the forecast further by integrating it into the business strategy, aligning stakeholders around a shared set of expectations, and determining the actions needed to respond to that demand.

What Purpose Does Demand Planning Serve?

Demand planning aims to create a realistic and actionable view of future demand so the organization can align supply, resources, and investments accordingly. It addresses critical issues including:

  • Strategic planning and assessing risk (long-term planning and S&OP/IBP)
  • Finance and accounting (budgets and cost controls)
  • Marketing (consumer behavior, life cycle management, pricing)
  • Operations and supply chain (resource planning, production, logistics, inventory)

Why Is Demand Planning Important?

In a world of increasing uncertainty, demand planning helps companies stay ahead. Done well, it enables organizations to:

  • Improve service levels and customer satisfaction
  • Minimize inventory carrying costs and waste
  • Respond quickly to supply chain disruptions or market shifts
  • Enhance collaboration between departments
  • Increase profitability and operational efficiency

Demand planning is not a one-time task but an ongoing, iterative process that requires the correct data, tools, and cross-functional collaboration. It must also be flexible enough to adapt to volatility, whether driven by global events, consumer trends, or economic shifts.

Poor demand planning leads to the outcomes businesses aim to avoid: lost sales, excess inventory, wasted capital, and disconnected teams working from different assumptions. A well-executed demand planning process, on the other hand, builds organizational alignment, reduces bias, and leads to better business outcomes.

Why is it Critical for Businesses to Practice Demand Planning?

Demand planning is not just a supply chain function; it’s a core business process that drives strategic alignment, financial performance, and customer satisfaction. Based on IBF research from 34 organizations across different industries, companies that invest in structured, data-driven demand planning realize tangible benefits across key areas of the business.

  1. Improve service and protect revenue: A strong demand planning process helps businesses meet customer needs with greater reliability, ensuring on-time and in-full (OTIF) performance, even in the face of market volatility or promotional spikes. The result? Improved customer satisfaction, stronger brand loyalty, and higher top-line revenue.

Fact: A 15-point improvement in forecast accuracy has been shown to drive on to two percent in top-line sales growth and improve OTIF performance, meaning fewer stockouts and more happy customers.

Demand planning ensures your business doesn’t miss out on sales because of poor availability. It provides the early visibility needed to make smarter inventory and production decisions, keeping your shelves stocked and your customers returning.

2. Increase operational efficiency and reduce cost: Demand planning enables organizations to run more efficiently by minimizing waste, improving resource utilization, and allowing smarter scheduling of production, logistics, and labor. It transforms decision-making from reactive to proactive—letting teams plan ahead rather than scramble in response.

Fact: A 15-point improvement in forecast accuracy can deliver a 2.3 percent or more increase in pre-tax net profit, driven by better operational alignment and cost control.

By aligning cross-functional teams around a consensus forecast, organizations reduce duplication of effort, optimize capacity, and ensure the right resources are available at the right time—leading to smoother operations and lower costs.

3. Manage assets and free up cash: Effective demand planning significantly improves companies’ inventory and working capital management. With clearer insight into what’s actually needed—and when—businesses can reduce excess inventory, lower carrying costs, and avoid the pitfalls of overproduction or fire-sale markdowns.

Fact: For every 15-point improvement in forecast accuracy, companies can realize a 12 percent reduction in inventory, freeing up valuable cash and minimizing waste.

Demand planning ensures businesses are not over-invested in supply, storage, staffing, or space. It helps unlock capital tied up in inventory and directs it toward more strategic, value-added investments.

Demand planning is no longer optional. It’s a strategic necessity. Organizations that invest in robust demand planning processes not only gain greater visibility and control but also position themselves to thrive in a constantly evolving marketplace. With the proper training, structure, and leadership, demand planning becomes a competitive advantage that enables more resilient, data-driven organizations.

Where Does Demand Planning Fit Within an Organization?

Demand planning is a strategic, cross-functional process that touches nearly every part of the organization—from supply chain and operations to sales, marketing, and finance. While its reporting structure can vary, what matters most is how the function is structured, supported, and empowered, not simply where it reports.

Based on IBF research and industry benchmarks:

  • 48 percent of demand planning functions report into supply chain or operations
  • 23 percent report into the commercial side of the business, such as sales or marketing
  • 8 percent report into finance
  • 10 percent operate as an independent function or report directly to a business unit owner
  • The remaining 11 percent follow other models depending on organizational design.

These variations reflect the flexibility of demand planning—it can reside within different departments, depending on the company’s structure, maturity, and strategic priorities.

But here’s the key: regardless of the reporting line, demand planning must operate as a cross-functional, collaborative, and unbiased process. Its success depends on its ability to engage multiple stakeholders, reconcile competing priorities, and drive consensus to produce a unified, realistic view of future demand.

The Complexities of Demand Planning

Finding and maintaining the perfect balance between sufficiency and surplus can prove especially tricky. It isn’t a once-and-done task. Economic conditions change, and competitive environments constantly evolve.

To address this, demand planning typically requires using demand forecasting to predict future demand trends. This has added benefits, most importantly, heightened company efficiency and increased customer satisfaction.

What are the Key Components of Demand Planning?

Here are the critical parts of demand planning:

Product portfolio management

Effective demand management requires a clear understanding of product lifecycles, from launch to phase-out. Product portfolio management supports this by tracking each product’s stage and showing how changes in demand can impact related items. It also plays a key role in planning new product introductions, helping teams anticipate demand, allocate resources, and support successful launches. With strong portfolio management, companies can better manage transitions, reduce risk, and respond more effectively to market changes.

Statistical forecasting

Statistical forecasting is based on the concept that past history best predicts future performance. It uses complex algorithms to analyze historical data to develop demand forecasts. This exacting process demands accurate data, including eliminating outliers, exclusions, and baseless or inaccurate assumptions.

Sales forecast and overrides

As a process champion, the demand planner plays a critical role in driving consistency, structure, and accountability across the forecasting process. One of the key responsibilities is managing sales inputs and overrides—ensuring that adjustments to the statistical forecast are based on valid insights rather than bias. This involves working closely with sales teams to understand market intelligence, promotions, and customer expectations while also challenging assumptions when needed. The goal is to balance collaboration with discipline, ensuring that overrides improve forecast accuracy and align with broader business objectives.

Trade promotion management

In today’s highly competitive environment, it can be challenging to spark the interest of prospective customers. That’s why sales and other promotions are becoming increasingly common. They often result in increased consumer demand. Trade promotion management helps ensure that these types of programs are properly executed, that there is adequate product supply, and that they deliver all expected benefits to a company.

Demand Planning Methods

Quantitative forecasting methods are the foundation of most forecasting processes, with approximately 74 percent of companies relying on historical data to project future demand. Standard demand forecasting methods are:

  • Time series models, used by nearly half of organizations (48 percent), are the most common approach and focus on identifying patterns, trends, and seasonality in historical data.
  • Cause-and-effect models, used by 17 percent of companies, link external or internal variables—like price changes or promotions—to shifts in demand behavior.
  • Machine learning and AI are emerging tools in forecasting. Currently, about six percent of organizations use them, and as adoption grows, they offer the potential for more adaptive and automated insights.
  • Judgmental forecasting, reported by 17 percent of companies, is a qualitative method incorporating expert knowledge, market intelligence, and human insight when data is limited or context is needed.

What is Required to Do Demand Planning Effectively?

Effective demand planning is more than just generating a forecast. It’s about creating a reliable, unbiased view of future demand that drives smarter decisions across the organization. Done right, it improves service levels, optimizes inventory, enhances collaboration, and ultimately boosts profitability. However, to achieve these outcomes, companies must establish the proper foundation. Here’s what’s truly required to do demand planning effectively:

  • A clearly defined process: An effective demand planning process must be structured, repeatable, and aligned with business goals. It should define all stakeholders’ roles, responsibilities, timelines, and expectations. The process should incorporate steps for data collection, model development, consensus building, evaluation, and communication—ensuring that each cycle produces more accurate and actionable insights than the last.
  • High-quality, clean data: The best forecasts are built on relevant, clean, and complete data. That includes historical sales, customer orders, promotional activity, and external factors like market trends and economic indicators. Without trustworthy inputs, even the most sophisticated models will produce unreliable outputs. Demand planners must work with IT and business teams to ensure data integrity, consistency, and standardization.
  • Forecasting approach: An effective demand planning process requires selecting the right forecasting approach, whether it’s bottom-up (built from item-level inputs), top-down (driven by high-level business targets), or middle-out (a blend of both, used to reconcile plans across levels). Planners must also determine the appropriate level of aggregation, such as by item, customer, location, or time, based on how the forecast will be used and the level of noise in the data. The planning horizon must match the decision being supported—ranging from strategic (long-term capacity and investments) to tactical (monthly or quarterly planning) to operational (weekly or daily execution). Since no forecast is perfectly accurate, planners should establish acceptable and expected error thresholds and measure forecast performance to continuously improve.
  • Cross-functional collaboration: Demand planning is inherently cross-functional, involving input from sales, marketing, supply chain, finance, and operations. To be effective, the process must include a consensus step, where teams align on a final, agreed-upon forecast. This collaboration minimizes bias, integrates commercial intelligence, and ensures the forecast reflects both statistical outputs and business realities.
  • Skilled demand planners: The demand planner plays a critical role as a process champion and cross-functional influencer. Strong planners possess analytical capabilities, organizational awareness, communication skills, and the ability to challenge assumptions objectively. They must manage statistical models, evaluate overrides, monitor forecast accuracy, and facilitate dialogue between departments.
  • Focus on continuous improvement: No forecast will be perfect, but the goal is to improve continuously. That means measuring forecast accuracy and bias, tracking value-added steps, and adjusting models and inputs over time. Each forecasting cycle should yield better insights and inform more intelligent decisions.
  • Executive support and integration into business strategy: Demand planning must be embedded in the organization’s decision-making processes with strong executive support to ensure it has the visibility, tools, and authority to drive change. Gaining buy-in from key stakeholders is equally critical, as it builds alignment, promotes cross-functional engagement, and reinforces the value demand planning brings through improved customer service, operational efficiency, and business performance.

Demand Planning: Best Practices

Once the foundational elements are in place, adopting these best practices ensures demand planning becomes a value-driving process that adapts to change and supports better business outcomes:

  • Understand the purpose of forecasting: Clearly define why you are forecasting—whether for financial alignment, production planning, or service optimization—to tailor the process accordingly. Anchor the planning process in key business questions and explicitly state the assumptions driving forecast changes and decision-making.
  • Identify demand drivers: Analyze internal and external factors—such as seasonality, promotions, economic trends, and customer behavior—that influence demand patterns.
  • Gather relevant inputs across functions: Incorporate insights from sales, marketing, finance, and operations to ensure the forecast reflects a broad and informed perspective. Cleansing and structuring data is essential to ensure accuracy and consistency, providing a reliable foundation for effective forecasting and informed decision-making.
  • Track forecast performance regularly: Measure and report forecast accuracy and bias at appropriate levels of aggregation to continuously improve planning effectiveness. Forecast errors and metrics help us identify uncertainty and bias, allowing us to communicate them clearly, prioritize errors in high-value products and items, and improve forecast accuracy through better inputs and process refinement.
  • Schedule timely and recurring meetings: Regular forecast review meetings enable collaboration, resolve conflicts, and build consensus around the final demand plan. Demand planning should act as a hub for cross-functional alignment, bringing together departments to drive consensus and accountability.
  • Communicate and manage results: Share insights and results across the organization, highlighting successes, identifying gaps, and reinforcing the value of the demand planning process.

What Skills Do Demand Planners Need?

Effective demand planners must combine analytical expertise with business acumen to interpret data and translate it into actionable insights. They need strong communication and collaboration skills to work cross-functionally with sales, marketing, finance, and operations, facilitating alignment and consensus. A deep understanding of forecasting techniques—from time series models to causal methods and emerging AI tools—is essential to building and evaluating accurate forecasts.

Demand planners must also be adept at managing uncertainty and bias, using metrics to identify errors, and continuously improving forecast performance. Critical thinking and problem-solving abilities are key to challenging assumptions, evaluating overrides, and navigating business complexity. Equally important is the ability to act as a process champion, ensuring the planning cycle is structured, repeatable, and aligned with strategic goals. Ultimately, demand planners serve as integrators across the organization, requiring a balance of technical skills, strategic thinking, and emotional intelligence to influence without authority.

The Future of Demand Planning

The future of demand planning is rapidly evolving into a more strategic, technology-enabled, and integrated function that drives value across the entire enterprise. Fueled by advancements in artificial intelligence (AI), machine learning, and predictive analytics, demand planning is becoming more precise, automated, and responsive. These technologies allow organizations to analyze vast amounts of real-time data from sources like point-of-sale systems, distributors, and suppliers, enabling more accurate forecasts and timely decisions that reduce waste and improve customer service.

As forecasting tools become more sophisticated, the demand planner’s role will shift from generating numbers to generating insights, focusing on scenario planning, cross-functional collaboration, and business alignment. Demand planning will continue to integrate with S&OP and IBP processes, connecting operational planning to financial and strategic goals. With global supply chains becoming more complex and volatile, demand planners will be expected to manage greater uncertainty while maintaining agility and discipline.

However, as Eric Wilson of the Institute of Business Forecasting (IBF) cautions, the successful integration of advanced technologies requires more than just investment—it demands alignment with business strategy, proper implementation, and upskilling teams to interpret and act on AI-driven insights. Without these, organizations risk underutilizing powerful tools or making misaligned decisions. Done right, the future of demand planning is not just digitality becoming a central pillar of strategy and competitive advantage.

Demand Planning 101: The Final Word

The world of demand planning is rapidly evolving. However, the reality is that companies that don’t practice it must jump on board. If they don’t, they risk losing out to competitors who do. Demand planning will help you satisfy consumers, run your organization efficiently, and drive dollars to your bottom line.

Leverage the information in this guide—and the other resources available through IBF—to launch and optimize a demand planning practice at your company.

 

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Preparing for an Effective Demand Review https://demand-planning.com/2024/11/14/preparing-for-an-effective-demand-review/ Thu, 14 Nov 2024 17:26:40 +0000 https://demand-planning.com/?p=10485

The essence of Sales and Operations Planning (S&OP) is the active participation of different departments. Participants come from varied backgrounds, each with different daily objectives and challenges, and they need to reach consensus to advance the process. Achieving this alignment in an environment of trust while balancing risks and opportunities is the main challenge.

The Demand Review is a foundational step in this process It is where a picture of future demand is created by taking a statistical forecast and adjusting it according to information about clients and the market from Sales & Marketing. It is where consensus on future demand is achieved.

The building blocks of the Demand Review include a statistical forecast, input from Sales and Marketing, and technology that supports the planning process to track the different clients, SKUs, and each person who collaborates in each stage of the S&OP process. In addition, transparency is key whereby all participants have the same information regarding past performance and future expectations.

Pre-Demand Review

Before the Demand Review, we must build a statistical forecast. I highly recommend having a quick meeting at the beginning of each month to show the results of the main KPIs, similar to the daily meetings proposed in the agile methodology. This helps us to understand the main difficulties of the last month and encourages conversation between the Sales team and Demand Planners. It is important not to focus too closely on each SKU and to keep it high level. I have been in Demand Reviews that lasted more than one hour per category, causing managers to leave the meeting. At this stage, keep discussions concise and focused.

In these pre-meetings, we can gain information about products or clients. For example, we might have a deviation from the forecast because our competitors increased their prices, or a client decided to increase shelf space, or conversely, the client decided that the product will be sold in fewer stores.

At the same time, it’s important to look at our service levels for different clients. Variations in sales could be due to internal problems. I recommend discussing Fill Rate, Market Share, and Days on Hand (DOH) for each client/category. If our colleagues have this information, we can react faster to changes in sales. For example, if we see that a retailer has increased its DOH, it is highly possible that our sales for next month will be lower. Information from the past helps us identify new sales trends and focus on products or clients that could pose risks or opportunities for our projections.

The desired level of aggregation depends on the planning time horizon. We take a more granular view the closer the horizon, and a higher level view for longer horizons. I suggest breaking it down as shown in Figure 1.

 

One Month Ahead 2 Months Ahead 9 Months Ahead 12 Months Ahead
Weekly Monthly Quarterly Yearly
SKU SKU Family Category Category
Customer Customer grouping Channel Total Customers

Figure 1 | Aggregation by planning horizon

 

Inputs We Need Before The Demand Review

We need a few different types of data for our Demand Review, which we collect from different sources.

Statistical forecast: We forecast based on historical data, assuming what happened in the past could happen again. The unconstrained demand forecast is our foundation for further discussion. This forecasting step can be improved with technology. For example, with APO or IBP, it is possible to keep a history of sales affected by out-of-stock situations or promotions, leading to a cleaner history and allowing Demand Planners to create better forecasts.

Input from Sales: Collaboration from the salesperson for each client is crucial, as they know the client’s perception best and will execute the sales plan. Therefore, they must be committed to the plan, considering it is usually their goal for the next month, with correlated financial incentives. The unconstrained forecast can be adjusted accordingly.

Input from Marketing: This area must incorporate knowledge of expected future share of the category, promotions, launches, or any product changes that could mean replacing a current SKU. At this point, the effectiveness of the Demand Review increases, as all the previous hard work will help have a decision-making meeting with managers. The unconstrained forecast can be adjusted accordingly.

During the Demand Review Meeting

During the Demand Review, I recommend starting with a one-page overview focusing on each category, showing the projections in terms of volume, price, and margin. This should be high level; only go into detail for SKUs that show significant deviations versus the last three months or have notable characteristics for the next months. In this meeting, we expect the participation of the sales manager, business manager, finance manager, or revenue manager.

The S&OP leader should encourage consensus to obtain a single plan that must be followed and executed. However, the S&OP leader also needs to create tension among the areas by asking questions such as:

  • Are we considering pending orders in this demand?
  • With the current projection, what could be our market share? Is it similar to what we expect?
  • If we create a scenario in which competitors increase or decrease their prices, what is the expected volume difference?
  • Which SKU poses the biggest risk? (If we anticipate higher sales than planned, we can project a bigger proportion of the demand at the beginning of the month, adapting the production schedule accordingly and react faster to potential out-of-stock situations.)
  • Are we considering discontinued SKUs according in our revenue forecasts?
  • Are we considering cannibalization between SKUs?
  • Are we comfortable with this plan? What is the gap between this plan and the budget?
  • What do we need to do to achieve our strategy? (We can adjust projections for a specific client, considering the sales manager’s participation in the meeting.)

One of the outputs of this meeting is a realistic yet challenging demand plan, with alerts for the next stage of the process. This will facilitate the next step in the S&OP cycle, the Supply Review. While uncertainty about the future always exists, we must take action with the best information available and prepare to react to new opportunities or risks. This is why it is essential to discuss the questions above.

Overcoming Bias & Achieving Alignment

I have been in Demand Reviews with biased behavior. We cannot forget that the demand agreed on at the end of the process will be part of the sales goal. Therefore, sales teams may try not to overcommit, thinking that selling more than planned is a good problem to have. At the same time, I have seen Marketing overpromise sales for new launches to ensure sufficient inventory, even at the risk of expiration. To promote cohesion, ensure that all participants share the same overarching goal (profitability for the business). Occasionally, let everyone adopt the CEO perspective. This approach helps identify what is best for the company and reduces siloed thinking.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the Demand Review is a critical step in the S&OP process and its success depend on the quality of the data and information used in preparation. This preparation allows for a decision-making meeting instead of an informational one. The S&OP leader must align the team through commitment, transparency, and trust, creating positive tension that addresses potential risks and opportunities.

 

This article first appeared in the fall 2024 issue of the Journal of Business ForecastingTo access the Journal, become an IBF member and get it delivered to your door every quarter, along with a host of memberships benefits including discounted conferences and training, exclusive workshops, and access to the entire IBF knowledge library. 

]]> Top 10 Benefits of S&OP https://demand-planning.com/2024/07/29/top-10-benefits-of-sop/ Mon, 29 Jul 2024 10:55:51 +0000 https://demand-planning.com/?p=10399


This article is taken from the book, Practical Guide to Sales & Operations Planning (S&OP/IBP). It’s currently available at a special introductory price. Get a copy here before the price increases.


Sales and Operations Planning (S&OP) stands as a cornerstone in the realm of Supply Chain Planning, serving as the nerve center that aligns diverse planning activities within an organization. The true potential of S&OP, however, blossoms in a mature implementation, offering a myriad of benefits that significantly elevate organizational performance.

Here are the top ten advantages intrinsic to a mature S&OP process, providing compelling reasons for any organization to embrace this transformative approach.

10) Builds Collaboration: A mature S&OP process acts as a catalyst, fostering cross-functional collaboration by dismantling silos and overcoming functional barriers. The convergence of stakeholders from sales, operations, finance, and other areas not only breaks down informational silos but also establishes a foundation for increased trust and accountability.

9) Builds Consensus: Achieving a unified vision becomes a reality with S&OP, as it ensures everyone operates from the same plan, aligning day-to-day operations with overarching business strategies. This unity reduces errors, facilitates plan reconciliation, and enhances adaptability when faced with unforeseen challenges.

8) Becomes More Agile: Contrary to the misconception that S&OP hampers agility, a mature process promotes collaboration and consensus as keystones to agility. With streamlined planning, organizations are better positioned to execute swiftly, plan buffers effectively, and strategize mitigation strategies with coherence.

7) Improved Visibility and Transparency: A mature S&OP process offers a comprehensive view of the entire business landscape, providing a forum for open discussions, conflict resolution, and informed decision-making. This enhanced visibility minimizes uncertainties and sets the stage for transparent communication across all levels of the organization.

6) Forecast and Plan Improvement: Beyond mere forecasting, a mature S&OP process elevates all planning facets, minimizing bias and incorporating diverse insights. The outcome is a set of plans that are not only more accurate but also more relevant and meaningful to all functions within the organization.

5) Resource Optimization: At its core, a mature S&OP process becomes a cost-saving engine for the company. By intelligently streamlining operations and optimizing resources, organizations enhance efficiency, eliminate bottlenecks, and fortify their supply chain, production, and logistics processes.

4) Better Customer Service: Beyond on-time, in-full (OTIF) metrics, a mature S&OP process contributes to top-line growth and revenue improvement. It enables organizations to understand customer demand intricately, leading to optimized inventory levels, timely product delivery, and enhanced customer satisfaction and loyalty.

3) Enhance Decision-Making: One of the hallmarks of a mature S&OP process is its ability to enhance decision-making. By providing a holistic view of the business, S&OP empowers organizations to assess different scenarios, evaluate risks, and develop informed contingency plans that align with their strategic objectives.

2) Higher Profitability: The ultimate goal for most organizations is maximizing shareholder value, and a mature S&OP process is the key to achieving this. It contributes to increased operating margins, enhanced capital efficiency, and sustained revenue growth, making it a cornerstone for higher profitability.

1) Competitive Advantage: In today’s dynamic business landscape, S&OP is not just a choice; it is a competitive imperative. Organizations that embrace a mature S&OP process gain a significant advantage by being more agile, responsive to market changes, and differentiated from their competitors. It is not merely a process; it’s a strategic advantage that propels companies toward long-term success.

Clearly, Sales and Operations Planning (S&OP) is not just a functional process but a strategic lever for organizational excellence. A mature S&OP process weaves collaboration, transparency, and agility into the fabric of an organization, providing a robust framework for sustained growth and competitive differentiation. If you have not started the S&OP journey, you are not just falling behind; you are falling behind a competition (that has most likely already read this book and has already embraced the transformative power of S&OP).

IBF’s new book Practical Guide to Sales & Operations Planning is a fantastic resource to learn best practices in S&OP and IBP from world-leading planning experts. You’ll learn how to start an S&OP/IBP process, progress it along the maturity curve, and use it to drive effective decision making that has a direct impact on KPIs like inventory turns, forecast accuracy, cash flow, customer service and more

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S&OP After COVID – What’s Changed? https://demand-planning.com/2024/03/04/sop-after-covid-whats-changed/ Mon, 04 Mar 2024 15:46:24 +0000 https://demand-planning.com/?p=10292

Regardless of the disruptions that COVID created, the pandemic was a blessing in disguise for the supply chain discipline, and particularly for S&OP. 

The best way to appreciate something is to realize the impact of its absence or malfunction. COVID made us all acutely aware of the importance of all aspects of the supply chain. Schoolchildren, in their remote classes, were taught about the need to balance supply and demand, and saw first-hand what happens when it goes wrong. The toilet paper hoarding frenzy made the public aware of core supply chain concept: the bullwhip effect.

The increased awareness that COVID created represents a renaissance for the supply chain field. It is up to the professionals in this field to maintain this momentum and continuously drive supply chain advancements.

This is helping not only to bring more people to the field but also to start paving elevated career paths for them. Other than the global increased awareness of the importance of the supply chain, below are the major changes driven by COVID:

1) Ad Hoc Cross-Functional Training

The major disruptions created an unusual phenomenon of ad hoc cross functional training that exists to this day. By training, I mean genuine professional curiosity for the various functions to learn about cross-functional constraints and how everything is interrelated.

It all started with the various segments of the business catching up on the intricacies of the supply chain. For many, Supply Chain Management was limited to order entry. Suddenly, concepts like lead time, forecast accuracy, inventory allocation, and distribution requirement planning started to be understood.

Also, financial acumen increased amongst S&OP participants as expediting and transportation costs in general reached a record high. The danger of not delivering client needs became another key theme. Post COVID, we are seeing an ongoing, stronger collaboration amongst S&OP cross-functional participants in S&OP.

2) Enhanced Process Maturity

In addition to the increased supply chain awareness that COVID created, risk mitigation became a key focus. Concepts that were previously unique to vanguard S&OP processes at the highest maturity level are starting to be embraced by less mature planning organizations.

The quality of the output might not be optimal but companies nonetheless are increasingly attempting to stress test their assumptions and conduct scenario planning to better mitigate risks.

3) Broadened Internal Planning Scope

The classic hierarchy amongst the various planning horizons has flattened. The pandemic forced a realization that Master Scheduling, Material Requirement Planning, Rough-Cut Capacity Planning, and Capacity Requirement Planning necessitate a stronger symbiotic relationship with S&OP. With that, the internal scope of the planning processes has broadened.

4) Broadened External Planning Scope

Many companies realized that agile planning necessitates extending the planning scope outside the walls of the organization. This mindset can be seen in practice with enhanced collaboration with key vendors (CPFR) and by increasingly leveraging outside data sources and research.

While I hope we never have to face a pandemic like COVID-19, as an S&OP practitioner and supply chain professional I hope we don’t lose the momentum these two fields are currently enjoying so we can face any future black swan events with more grace and agility than 2020.

 

To learn the fundamentals and best practices of S&OP/IBP, join us in Chicago from June 12-14 for the biggest conference of its kind. With several workshop sessions, networking, and panel discussions it is where you’ll make S&OP a reality in your organization or elevate an existing process. Click here for more details.

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Say No to Siloed Planning With Multi-Echelon Inventory Optimization https://demand-planning.com/2024/02/22/say-no-to-siloed-planning-with-multi-echelon-inventory-optimization/ Thu, 22 Feb 2024 12:21:38 +0000 https://demand-planning.com/?p=10279

Efficient inventory management is crucial for any business. While inventory is needed to meet customer service levels and mitigate uncertainties, organizations often struggle to balance customer service levels, inventory costs, and cash tied up in inventory.

This challenge becomes even more complex when dealing with multi-echelon supply chains, where decisions are interrelated, and material availability downstream depends on material and resource availability upstream. A methodology that can be applied to tackle these challenges is termed Multi-Echelon Inventory Optimization (MEIO). In this article, we explore the concept of MEIO and its driving forces, its benefits, and how to successfully implement it in your organization to achieve higher levels of efficiency and profitability.

What is Multi-Echelon Inventory Optimization?

MEIO takes a holistic view of inventory management across multiple echelons (levels) within a supply chain. Traditionally, organizations have focused on optimizing inventories at each location, leading to suboptimal results and excess inventory in the system as a whole. Common reasons for excess inventory include lack of data visibility across the supply chain, lack of policy parameter revisions in organically-grown supply chains, and lack of expertise in right-sizing inventories in an integrated way.

MEIO takes a more integrated and comprehensive approach, optimizing inventory decisions across the entire supply chain rather than in siloes. Such a holistic view avoids inventory buffer duplication while ensuring high customer service levels. This is achieved by setting the goal to meet the target service level of the end customer, modeling interactions between different echelons and locations, and accounting for various effects such as demand and lead time uncertainties.

What Key Forces Drive the Trade-Offs in MEIO?

When it comes to the positioning of safety stocks across a multi-echelon supply chain, a significant trade-off is holding safety stock buffers upstream (supply chain entry point) vs. downstream (close to the end customer). The four primary effects which impact the positioning are:

  • Demand pooling effect: centralizing safety stocks upstream to mitigate uncertainties for multiple products or at multiple locations with the same safety stock.
  • Value effect: inventory carrying costs are usually lower upstream.
  • Lead time pooling effect: consolidation of safety stock at a downstream location that also covers for lead time and variability of its upstream location(s).
  • Service level effect: downstream buffering is preferred if service levels are different per customer.

What are the Benefits of MEIO?

MEIO offers significant benefits to your business. It helps increase customer service levels and optimize or rebalance inventory across the entire supply chain while reducing working capital. Running a MEIO project also helps to understand your supply chain dynamics, and it is not uncommon that it triggers discussions on strategic topics such as customer service offerings or network (re)design.

Why Do MEIO Implementations Often Fail?

MEIO is not new and despite the significant savings that can be achieved, not many multinationals have implemented it. Implementation projects are too often driven by management; the key factor is to take the inventory planners along in the journey. Implementing MEIO is not only about implementing software. A key indicator for a successful implementation is the planner’s acceptance rate of the proposed (safety) stocks. The main reasons a high acceptance rate is not achieved are as follows:

  • Each supply chain has specific modelling requirements that most software solutions do not support, resulting in low(er) quality safety stock proposals. Consider full container/truck shipments, seasonal demand, finite production capacity, or a long tail portfolio with slow moving items.
  • Planners have not been trained to understand the key drivers in MEIO, and are too often still thinking in their own silo. Planners that don’t understand the results of the MEIO-models will likely reject the safety stock proposals.
  • MEIO often proposes a large shift of inventories across the supply chain, so carefully managing the rebalancing of stock is important.

Key Ingredients of Successful MEIO Implementation

It is important to take small steps and go back to revisit data and models if new insights emerge. In short, the key ingredients to a successful MEIO-implementation are:

  1. Start with the right mindset: Focus on inventory right-sizing rather than inventory reduction.
  2. Simulation-based inventory optimization: This allows us to model real-world complexity, to gradually increase modelling complexity (which fosters buy-in from Planners), and to explain the results in an end-to-end manner (avoiding silo thinking). Make sure to run multiple scenarios to really understand the supply chain dynamics and the main drivers of stock rebalancing.
  3. Review and implement results at segment level: Review at segment level rather than item level, which can be time consuming if portfolios have tens or even hundreds of thousands of items. Machine learning has proven to be a powerful tool to segment portfolios with similar stock drivers, and to build a decision tree to review the safety stock proposals per segment rather than by item.
  4. Implement results in small steps: If MEIO proposes to reduce a safety stock from 500 to 100, don’t slash stock to 100 units straight away. Rather, reduce it by 100 units per month until the recommended level is reached.

MEIO Case Study in the Fragrances Industry 

Let’s take a look at a real life example of MEIO implementation. I worked with a Europe-based global market leader of flavors and fragrances which had an established inventory management process using SAP. Despite this, they considered their inventory position to be too high. The Inventory Planners optimized safety stocks by item and location, in isolation. My team was brought in to optimize the inventory settings in their supply chain which had more than 60 locations and 13 echelons. The project to right-size inventory resulted in a EUR 20 million saving and would not have been achieved without:

  1. Identifying and realizing quick wins: If project stakeholders don’t see tangible benefits already during the project, their involvement and willingness to support decreases quickly and changes into resistance.
  2. Increasing model sophistication as Planners’ expertise grows: The advantages of simulation over closed-form algorithms is that modelling complexity can be gradually increased according to Planners’ expertise as their understanding evolves. Moving from inventory optimization in siloes towards MEIO requires not only a step up in the Planners’ understanding of the models and stock drivers, but also significant change management for the company as a whole (e.g. different incentives and KPIs).
  3. Applying simulation techniques: This allowed for modelling real-world complexity like full truck load and stock rationing policies (if stock is insufficient, how to split available stock across requesting locations). Further, simulation results are a great facilitator in explaining the interactions between the different driving forces in MEIO.
  4. Facilitating a simple, yet sustainable implementation: MEIO is not a one-off exercise and safety stock parameters require a review every month or quarter. Building a decision tree that groups items with similar characteristics was a great solution. Each item and location combination is assigned to one of the roughly 300 different groups and this drastically reduced the workload of the Planners. They now only review each group’s safety stock factor instead of the safety stock for all 200,000 individual item/location combinations.

Strong collaboration between my team and the Planners led to a step up in the client’s knowledge and capability. After this one-off project, we supported the company on a yearly basis to review and update their decision tree and corresponding safety stock factors.

MEIO is not a one-off exercise. Safety stock parameters need periodic (monthly to quarterly) review and revisions. Every company and supply chain is unique and requires its own approach. MEIO is a powerful tool for businesses looking to right-size their inventory across multiple echelons within the supply chain and go beyond basic textbook modeling and siloed thinking. By taking a holistic approach, leveraging data-driven insights, and increasing your Planners’ understanding of the unique supply chain dynamics, organizations can improve their customer service, inventory costs, and cash.


This article first appeared in the Winter 2023/2024 issue of the Journal of Business Forecasting. To get the Journal delivered to your door quarterly, become an IBF member. Membership benefits include access to every Journal ever published, research and benchmarking reports, exclusive workshops and tutorials, and discounted entry to every IBF conference and training boot camp. 

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